Player Projections

Making quality player projections is one of the keys to success in fantasy football. Phenoms Fantasy Football provides the projections of the commissioner, Mike Zangrilli, free of charge.

2008 projections are still posted. 2009 Projections coming soon! (Early July?)

For the team by team projections, click the “Team Breakdown” link.

Here are the steps I use in making projections:

1. Compile the team statistics from the past few seasons, to use as a baseline for total team production
2. Consider how the pass/run ratio may change, due to personnel or coaching changes
3. Starting with the RBs, project the stats for the season. I look at each player's career stats, and consider what trends/changes will impact his performance for the upcoming season
4. I'll start with the receivers and then fill in the QB stats, but adjust receiving stats when the QB's numbers are out of whack.
5. Finally, I consider how the projected team totals compare to the historic team performance

Phenoms provides team pages with commentary, as well as league projections sorted by position in both the Basic and Bonus scoring systems. You can also download a blank spreadsheet to make your own projections. Phenoms FF does not provide IDP projections.